Friday, 16 September 2011

EUR/USD 16 SEPTEMBER 2011



EUR/USD
No Trade setup on EUR yesterday.

We are still in a downtrend on the 1H chart. We have a B low that formed Monday giving us a new AB swing. Price rallied to A swing high yesterday – albeit a small swing high, but never broke it. We will look to sell if we get there today and then get a bearish cs formation. If we take it out we will be starting a reversal on the 1h time frame.
We have a more significant high at 4149, then 4283.

Else long trade setups are only considered once we get to the BF786 and price gives us a bullish cs formation, or if we take out the swing high and start a reversal on this timeframe.

SHORT: Will be going short only IF:
We get a test of the highs of yesterday which is also a small swing high and then a bearish cs formation; trade it as a ST down to the BF786. Stops above the cs formations, 50 pips max.

If we don’t get the cs formations we are looking for then we don’t trade.


LONG: Will be going long today only IF:
Price gets down to the BF786 and then gives us a bullish cs formation. Trade this as a PT to the 786. Stops below the low – max 50 pips stop.

Else if price takes out the 3935 highs we will then be reversing on this timeframe, we then have to wait for a new B to form and start all over again.

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