Thursday, 21 June 2012

AUD/USD 21 JUNE 2012


AUD/USD - follow me on twitter @fxdailyforecast and stocktwits.com/fxg
Price rallied through the B high yesterday and seems to have given us a new B high at 1.0223.

FOR TODAY:
We will look for a test of yesterday’s lows, or lower down at the 618/786 of this swing followed by a bullish cs formation for a long trade setup.

Shorts are considered only after a test of the BF786.

If we don’t get the setup we are looking for then we don’t trade.

SHORT: Will be going short only IF:
We need a rally to test the BF786 followed by  a clear bearish cs for a short trade setup. Place stop 13 pips above the cs formation, max 1% risk.
A sustained break of 1.0223 negates this view and opens the upside for a rally higher towards 1.0390.

If we don’t get the setup we are looking for then we don’t trade.

LONG: Will be going long today only IF:
Price is close to yesterday’s lows, we will wait to see if the low holds. If we get a bullish cs formation we will enter a long trade setup, else we have a 618/786 lower down – we will look for support at these levels. Place stops 10 pips below the cs formation, max 1% risk. Limits define at time of entry.

If we don’t get the setup we are looking for then we don’t trade.

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